APPS
Digital Turbine, Inc.Open10.570.00 0.00%USD
NasdaqCM · as of Oct 13, 10:18 ET · 15m delay
Open
10.51
Prev close
10.57
Day range
10.4510.67
52-week range
2.7415.34
Volume
174.42K0.05×
Mkt cap
1.29B
P/E ttm
—
Fwd P/E
11.13
EPS ttm
-0.3200
Div yield
0.00%
Earnings
Aug 4, 2026
From 52w high
−31.10%
APPS market-implied price distribution
APPS Price at Expiry
15 OTM quotes · ATM IV 108.2%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
44%
spot 10.57
Expected price
10.58
forward 10.60
68% range
7–14
−34.1% / +31.9%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 4.62 | −56.3% |
| 16% | 6.97 | −34.1% |
| 25% | 7.97 | −24.6% |
| 50% (median) | 10.10 | −4.4% |
| 75% | 12.55 | +18.7% |
| 84% | 13.95 | +31.9% |
| 95% | 17.93 | +69.6% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (11.10) | 39% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (11.63) | 33% |
| Down 5% or more (10.04) | 49% |
| Down 10% or more (9.51) | 43% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 43%, 1.0× the 45% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.