AMX
America Movil, S.A.B. de C.V.Open21.87+0.46 +2.15%USD
NYSE · as of Oct 13, 12:42 ET · 20m delay
Open
21.58
Prev close
21.41
Day range
21.5021.97
52-week range
19.7128.46
Volume
1.16M0.43×
Mkt cap
65.32B
P/E ttm
13.17
Fwd P/E
10.54
EPS ttm
1.66
Div yield
2.77%
Earnings
Oct 20, 2026
From 52w high
−23.16%
AMX market-implied price distribution
AMX Price at Expiry
15 OTM quotes · ATM IV 34.3%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
40%
spot 21.87
Expected price
21.83
forward 21.62
68% range
19–23
−11.4% / +6.4%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 17.89 | −18.2% |
| 16% | 19.38 | −11.4% |
| 25% | 20.26 | −7.4% |
| 50% (median) | 21.47 | −1.8% |
| 75% | 22.59 | +3.3% |
| 84% | 23.26 | +6.4% |
| 95% | 26.15 | +19.6% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (22.96) | 19% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (24.06) | 10% |
| Down 5% or more (20.78) | 34% |
| Down 10% or more (19.68) | 19% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 19%, 0.9× the 21% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.