AMT
American Tower Corporation (REIPre-market182.56+0.32 +0.18%USD
NYSE · as of Oct 12, 16:00 ET · 20m delay
Open
182.25
Prev close
182.24
Day range
180.03183.27
52-week range
160.06196.08
Volume
3.45M1.26×
Mkt cap
85.07B
P/E ttm
25.11
Fwd P/E
26.04
EPS ttm
7.27
Div yield
3.92%
Earnings
Oct 27, 2026
From 52w high
−6.90%
AMT market-implied price distribution
AMT Price at Expiry
19 OTM quotes · ATM IV 31.4%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
49%
spot 182.56
Expected price
183.12
forward 182.90
68% range
166–200
−9.3% / +9.6%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 153.74 | −15.8% |
| 16% | 165.65 | −9.3% |
| 25% | 170.96 | −6.4% |
| 50% (median) | 181.97 | −0.3% |
| 75% | 193.78 | +6.1% |
| 84% | 200.12 | +9.6% |
| 95% | 216.43 | +18.6% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (191.69) | 29% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (200.82) | 15% |
| Down 5% or more (173.43) | 30% |
| Down 10% or more (164.30) | 14% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 14%, 0.9× the 16% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.