AMDG
Leverage Shares 2X Long AMD DaiClosed114.90−14.37 −11.11%USD
NasdaqGM · as of Oct 14, 16:00 ET · 15m delayAfter hours 112.58 −2.02%
Open
120.59
Prev close
129.27
Day range
114.46122.97
52-week range
18.31154.32
Volume
18.70K0.39×
Div yield
2.21%
From 52w high
−25.54%
AMDG market-implied price distribution
AMDG Price at Expiry
12 OTM quotes · ATM IV 112.0%
Days to expiry
37
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
45%
spot 114.90
Expected price
115.41
forward 115.38
68% range
74–153
−35.3% / +33.4%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 58.28 | −49.3% |
| 16% | 74.38 | −35.3% |
| 25% | 85.97 | −25.2% |
| 50% (median) | 109.65 | −4.6% |
| 75% | 137.63 | +19.8% |
| 84% | 153.32 | +33.4% |
| 95% | 193.44 | +68.4% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (120.65) | 39% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (126.39) | 34% |
| Down 5% or more (109.16) | 49% |
| Down 10% or more (103.41) | 43% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 43%, 1.0× the 45% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.