ALB
Albemarle CorporationOpen97.42−1.09 −1.11%USD
NYSE · as of Oct 13, 14:51 ET · 20m delay
Open
98.00
Prev close
98.51
Day range
96.1098.16
52-week range
88.01221.00
Volume
1.46M0.62×
Mkt cap
11.50B
P/E ttm
360.81
Fwd P/E
8.88
EPS ttm
0.2700
Div yield
1.66%
Earnings
Nov 4, 2026
From 52w high
−55.92%
ALB market-implied price distribution
ALB Price at Expiry
26 OTM quotes · ATM IV 55.6%
Days to expiry
31
Fri, Nov 13, 2026
P(finish above spot)
47%
spot 97.42
Expected price
97.62
forward 97.58
68% range
82–112
−16.0% / +14.8%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 72.15 | −25.9% |
| 16% | 81.84 | −16.0% |
| 25% | 86.81 | −10.9% |
| 50% (median) | 96.40 | −1.0% |
| 75% | 106.42 | +9.2% |
| 84% | 111.84 | +14.8% |
| 95% | 126.46 | +29.8% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (102.29) | 34% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (107.16) | 24% |
| Down 5% or more (92.55) | 39% |
| Down 10% or more (87.68) | 27% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 27%, 1.0× the 28% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.