AIT
Applied Industrial TechnologiesAfter hours332.85−0.96 −0.29%USD
NYSE · as of Oct 13, 16:00 ET · 20m delayAfter hours 332.85 0.00%
Open
335.36
Prev close
333.81
Day range
329.80335.83
52-week range
238.34374.80
Volume
236.31K0.86×
Mkt cap
12.23B
P/E ttm
30.40
Fwd P/E
25.16
EPS ttm
10.95
Div yield
0.61%
Earnings
Oct 27, 2026
From 52w high
−11.19%
AIT market-implied price distribution
AIT Price at Expiry
32 OTM quotes · ATM IV 29.6%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
54%
spot 332.85
Expected price
338.00
forward 334.17
68% range
309–362
−7.0% / +8.9%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 287.20 | −13.7% |
| 16% | 309.44 | −7.0% |
| 25% | 318.25 | −4.4% |
| 50% (median) | 335.06 | +0.7% |
| 75% | 352.45 | +5.9% |
| 84% | 362.32 | +8.9% |
| 95% | 396.19 | +19.0% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (349.49) | 29% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (366.14) | 14% |
| Down 5% or more (316.21) | 23% |
| Down 10% or more (299.57) | 9.5% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 9.5%, 0.7× the 14% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.