AGEN
Agenus Inc.Closed6.95−0.48 −6.46%USD
NasdaqCM · as of Oct 13, 16:00 ET · 15m delayAfter hours 7.08 +1.87%
Open
7.30
Prev close
7.43
Day range
6.817.34
52-week range
2.7110.31
Volume
991.72K0.64×
Mkt cap
313.88M
P/E ttm
2.75
Fwd P/E
-63.18
EPS ttm
2.53
Div yield
0.00%
Earnings
Aug 6, 2026
From 52w high
−32.59%
AGEN market-implied price distribution
AGEN Price at Expiry
9 OTM quotes · ATM IV 91.2%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
45%
spot 6.95
Expected price
7.19
forward 7.16
68% range
5–9
−25.9% / +29.6%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 2.71 | −61.1% |
| 16% | 5.15 | −25.9% |
| 25% | 5.73 | −17.6% |
| 50% (median) | 6.76 | −2.7% |
| 75% | 8.03 | +15.6% |
| 84% | 9.01 | +29.6% |
| 95% | 12.91 | +85.8% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (7.30) | 37% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (7.65) | 31% |
| Down 5% or more (6.60) | 46% |
| Down 10% or more (6.26) | 37% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 37%, 1.0× the 38% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.