ADMA
ADMA Biologics IncOpen10.23+0.05 +0.49%USD
NasdaqGM · as of Oct 13, 13:43 ET · 15m delay
Open
10.19
Prev close
10.18
Day range
10.0310.31
52-week range
7.2120.46
Volume
1.31M0.49×
Mkt cap
2.29B
P/E ttm
14.61
Fwd P/E
10.84
EPS ttm
0.7000
Div yield
0.00%
Earnings
Aug 5, 2026
From 52w high
−50.00%
ADMA market-implied price distribution
ADMA Price at Expiry
14 OTM quotes · ATM IV 64.1%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
46%
spot 10.23
Expected price
10.08
forward 10.12
68% range
7–12
−27.3% / +19.7%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 4.30 | −58.0% |
| 16% | 7.44 | −27.3% |
| 25% | 8.49 | −17.0% |
| 50% (median) | 10.01 | −2.2% |
| 75% | 11.43 | +11.7% |
| 84% | 12.25 | +19.7% |
| 95% | 15.68 | +53.3% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (10.74) | 36% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (11.25) | 28% |
| Down 5% or more (9.72) | 44% |
| Down 10% or more (9.21) | 35% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 35%, 1.0× the 36% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.