ACM
AECOMOpen59.33+0.32 +0.54%USD
NYSE · as of Oct 13, 13:45 ET · 20m delay
Open
59.11
Prev close
59.01
Day range
58.4659.55
52-week range
56.39135.52
Volume
421.20K0.22×
Mkt cap
7.64B
P/E ttm
20.89
Fwd P/E
9.31
EPS ttm
2.84
Div yield
2.10%
Earnings
Aug 10, 2026
From 52w high
−56.22%
ACM market-implied price distribution
ACM Price at Expiry
11 OTM quotes · ATM IV 43.1%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
45%
spot 59.33
Expected price
59.17
forward 58.98
68% range
51–67
−13.8% / +12.5%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 46.13 | −22.3% |
| 16% | 51.13 | −13.8% |
| 25% | 53.55 | −9.7% |
| 50% (median) | 58.37 | −1.6% |
| 75% | 63.67 | +7.3% |
| 84% | 66.72 | +12.5% |
| 95% | 76.21 | +28.4% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (62.30) | 30% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (65.26) | 20% |
| Down 5% or more (56.36) | 39% |
| Down 10% or more (53.40) | 24% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 24%, 0.9× the 26% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.