ACLS
Axcelis Technologies, Inc.Open123.47−4.17 −3.26%USD
NasdaqGS · as of Oct 13, 11:22 ET · 15m delay
Open
124.02
Prev close
127.63
Day range
122.06126.30
52-week range
73.60193.78
Volume
104.08K0.29×
Mkt cap
3.81B
P/E ttm
41.43
Fwd P/E
23.44
EPS ttm
2.98
Div yield
0.00%
Earnings
Aug 6, 2026
From 52w high
−36.29%
ACLS market-implied price distribution
ACLS Price at Expiry
33 OTM quotes · ATM IV 71.5%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
47%
spot 123.47
Expected price
125.97
forward 124.87
68% range
99–150
−20.2% / +21.4%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 77.08 | −37.6% |
| 16% | 98.56 | −20.2% |
| 25% | 106.18 | −14.0% |
| 50% (median) | 121.44 | −1.6% |
| 75% | 138.99 | +12.6% |
| 84% | 149.84 | +21.4% |
| 95% | 192.31 | +55.8% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (129.64) | 37% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (135.81) | 29% |
| Down 5% or more (117.29) | 43% |
| Down 10% or more (111.12) | 32% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 32%, 0.9× the 35% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.