| Time | Ctry | Event | Actual | Consensus | Previous |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tuesday, Oct 7 | |||||
| 11:30 | US | 3-Month Bill AuctionThe figures displayed in the calendar represent the rate on the Treasury Bill auctioned. U.S. Treasury Bills have maturities of a few days to one year. Governments issue treasuries to borrow money to cover the gap between the amount they receive in taxes and the amount they spend to refinance existing debt and/or to raise capital. The rate on a Treasury Bill represents the return an investor will receive by holding the bill for its entire duration. All bidders receive the same rate at the highest accepted bid. Yield fluctuations should be monitored closely as an indicator of the government debt situation. Investors compare the average rate at auction to the rate at previous auctions of the same security. | 3.850% | — | 3.860% |
| 11:30 | US | 6-Month Bill AuctionThe figures displayed in the calendar represent the rate on the Treasury Bill auctioned. U.S. Treasury Bills have maturities of a few days to one year. Governments issue treasuries to borrow money to cover the gap between the amount they receive in taxes and the amount they spend to refinance existing debt and/or to raise capital. The rate on a Treasury Bill represents the return an investor will receive by holding the bill for its entire duration. All bidders receive the same rate at the highest accepted bid. Yield fluctuations should be monitored closely as an indicator of the government debt situation. Investors compare the average rate at auction to the rate at previous auctions of the same security. | 3.695% | — | 3.715% |
| 17:00 | US | Fed Schmid SpeaksJeff Schmid is president and chief executive officer of the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City. Comments by the Federal Reserve policymakers can give clues on FOMC's economic assessment and policy outlook. Factors to watch include growth, inflation, unemployment, expected timing of changes in the fed funds rate, and expected levels of the fed funds rate in the near term. | — | — | — |
| Wednesday, Oct 8 | |||||
| 08:55 | US | RedbookThe Redbook Index is a sales-weighted of year-over-year same-store sales growth in a sample of large US general merchandise retailers representing about 9,000 stores. A higher than expected number should be taken as positive to the USD, while a lower than expected number as negative. | 5.8% | — | 5.9% |
| 10:00 | US | ★FOMC Member Bostic SpeaksFederal Reserve Bank of Atlanta President Raphael Bostic. His public engagements are often used to drop subtle clues regarding future monetary policy. | — | — | — |
| 10:05 | US | ★FOMC Member Bowman SpeaksMichelle W. Bowman took office as a member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System on November 26, 2018, to fill an unexpired term ending January 31, 2020. Her public engagements are often used to drop subtle clues regarding future monetary policy. | — | — | — |
| 10:10 | US | IBD/TIPP Economic OptimismThe Investor's Business Daily (IBD), TechnoMetrica Institute of Policy and Politics (TIPP) Economic Optimism Index rates the relative level of economic conditions, including six-month economic outlook, personal financial outlook and confidence in federal economic policies. A level above 50.0 indicates optimism; below indicates pessimism. A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the USD, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the USD. | 48.3 | 49.3 | 48.7 |
| 11:00 | US | NY Fed 1-Year Consumer Inflation Expectations | 3.4% | — | 3.2% |
| 11:30 | US | ★FOMC Member Kashkari SpeaksFederal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis President Neel Kashkari. His public engagements are often used to drop subtle clues regarding future monetary policy. | — | — | — |
| 12:00 | US | Atlanta Fed GDPNowGDPNow is not an official forecast of the Atlanta Fed. Rather, it is best viewed as a running estimate of real GDP growth based on available economic data for the current measured quarter. There are no subjective adjustments made to GDPNow—the estimate is based solely on the mathematical results of the model. In particular, it does not capture the impact of COVID-19 and social mobility beyond their impact on GDP source data and relevant economic reports that have already been released. It does not anticipate their impact on forthcoming economic reports beyond the standard internal dynamics of the model. | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% |
| 12:00 | US | EIA Short-Term Energy OutlookThe Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO) provides the U.S. Energy Information Administration’s (EIA) near-term perspective on energy markets. Each month, the STEO provides forecasts through the end of the next calendar year for consumption, supply, trade, and prices across major fuel types. In addition, the STEO provides in-depth market analysis for crude oil, petroleum products, and natural gas markets. Although its emphasis is on U.S. energy markets, the STEO also includes forecasts for certain international liquid fuels markets. | — | — | — |
| 13:00 | US | 3-Year Note AuctionThe figures displayed in the calendar represent the yield on the Treasury Note auctioned. U.S. Treasury Notes have maturities of two to ten years. Governments issue treasuries to borrow money to cover the gap between the amount they receive in taxes and the amount they spend to refinance existing debt and/or to raise capital. The rate on a Treasury Note represents the return an investor will receive by holding the note for its entire duration. All bidders receive the same rate at the highest accepted bid. Yield fluctuations should be monitored closely as an indicator of the government debt situation. Investors compare the average rate at auction to the rate at previous auctions of the same security. | 3.576% | — | 3.485% |
| 15:00 | US | Consumer CreditConsumer Credit measures the change in the total value of outstanding consumer credit that requires installment payments. It is closely correlated with consumer spending and confidence. The figure can be volatile as it often subject to sizable revisions. A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the USD, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the USD. | 0.36B | 12.90B | 18.05B |
| 16:30 | US | API Weekly Crude Oil StockThe American Petroleum Institute reports inventory levels of US crude oil, gasoline and distillates stocks. The figure shows how much oil and product is available in storage.The indicator gives an overview of US petroleum demand. If the increase in crude inventories is more than expected, it implies weaker demand and is bearish for crude prices. The same can be said if a decline in inventories is less than expected. If the increase in crude is less than expected, it implies greater demand and is bullish for crude prices. The same can be said if a decline in inventories is more than expected. | 2.780M | 2.250M | -3.674M |
| Thursday, Oct 9 | |||||
| 07:00 | US | MBA 30-Year Mortgage RateFixed 30-year mortgage lending rates for 80% loan-to-value mortgage (source by MBA). | 6.43% | — | 6.46% |
| 07:00 | US | MBA Mortgage ApplicationsMortgage Bankers Association (MBA) Mortgage Applications measures the change in the number of new applications for mortgages backed by the MBA during the reported week. A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the USD, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the USD. | -4.7% | — | -12.7% |
| 07:00 | US | MBA Purchase IndexMBA - Mortgage Bankers Association of America. The Purchase Index includes all mortgages applications for the purchase of a single-family home. It covers the entire market, both conventional and government loans, and all products. The Purchase Index has proven to be a reliable indicator of impending home sales. | 170.6 | — | 172.7 |
| 07:00 | US | Mortgage Market IndexMBA - Mortgage Bankers Association of America. The Market Index covers all mortgage applications during the week. This includes all conventional and government applications, all fixed-rate mortgages (FRMs), all adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs), whether for a purchase or to refinance. | 323.1 | — | 339.1 |
| 07:00 | US | Mortgage Refinance IndexMBA - Mortgage Bankers Association of America. The Refinance Index covers all mortgage applications to refinance an existing mortgage. It is the best overall gauge of mortgage refinancing activity. The Refinance Index includes conventional and government refinances, regardless of product (FRM or ARM) or coupon rate refinanced into or out of.Seasonal factors are less significant in refinances than in home sales, however holiday effects are considerable. | 1,180.2 | — | 1,278.6 |
| 09:30 | US | Fed Vice Chair for Supervision Barr Speaks | — | — | — |
| 10:00 | US | Fed Goolsbee Speaks | — | — | — |
| 10:30 | US | Crude Oil InventoriesThe Energy Information Administration's (EIA) Crude Oil Inventories measures the weekly change in the number of barrels of commercial crude oil held by US firms. The level of inventories influences the price of petroleum products, which can have an impact on inflation. If the increase in crude inventories is more than expected, it implies weaker demand and is bearish for crude prices. The same can be said if a decline in inventories is less than expected. If the increase in crude is less than expected, it implies greater demand and is bullish for crude prices. The same can be said if a decline in inventories is more than expected. | 3.715M | 2.250M | 1.792M |
| 10:30 | US | EIA Refinery Crude Runs | 0.129M | — | -0.308M |
| 10:30 | US | Crude Oil Imports | 0.731M | — | 0.071M |
| 10:30 | US | Cushing Crude Oil InventoriesChange in the number of barrels of crude oil held in storage at the Cushing, Oklahoma during the past week. Storage levels at Cushing are important because it serves as the delivery point for the U.S. crude oil benchmark, West Texas Intermediate. | -0.763M | — | -0.271M |
| 10:30 | US | Distillate Fuel Production | 0.210M | — | -0.025M |
| 10:30 | US | EIA Weekly Distillates StocksThe Energy Information Administration reports inventory levels of US crude oil, gasoline and distillates stocks. The figure shows how much oil and product is available in storage. The indicator gives an overview of US petroleum demand. | -2.018M | -1.230M | 0.578M |
| 10:30 | US | Gasoline Production | 0.409M | — | -0.363M |
| 10:30 | US | Heating Oil Stockpiles | -0.060M | — | 0.187M |
| 10:30 | US | EIA Weekly Refinery Utilization Rates | 1.0% | — | -1.6% |
| 10:30 | US | Gasoline InventoriesGasoline Inventories measures the change in the number of barrels of commercial gasoline held in inventory by commercial firms during the reported week. The data influences the price of gasoline products which affects inflation. The data has no consistent effect, there are both inflationary and growth implications. | -1.601M | -1.050M | 4.125M |
| 11:00 | US | Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSIThe Thomson Reuters Ipsos Monthly Global Primary Consumer Sentiment Index is a composite index of 11 questions that run monthly via online polls in the countries surveyed. The data output is based on the views of a fresh, randomly selected representative sample each month of primary consumers aged 18-64 in the US and Canada and aged 16-62 in other countries. Primary consumers are a comparable, standardized and weighted group in each country based on a minimum level of education and income. The eleven questions capture consumer views on: 1. Current overall economic situation in country 2. Current state of economy in local area 3. Expectations of local economy in six months 4. Current personal financial situation rating 5. Expectations of personal financial situation in six months 6. Comfort in making major purchases 7. Comfort in making other household purchases 8. Confidence about job security 9. Confidence in ability to invest in the future 10. Experience with job loss as a result of economic conditions 11. Expectations of job loss as a result of economic conditions | 52.86 | — | 52.37 |
| 13:00 | US | 10-Year Note AuctionThe figures displayed in the calendar represent the yield on the Treasury Note auctioned. U.S. Treasury Notes have maturities of two to ten years. Governments issue treasuries to borrow money to cover the gap between the amount they receive in taxes and the amount they spend to refinance existing debt and/or to raise capital. The rate on a Treasury Note represents the return an investor will receive by holding the note for its entire duration. All bidders receive the same rate at the highest accepted bid. Yield fluctuations should be monitored closely as an indicator of the government debt situation. Investors compare the average rate at auction to the rate at previous auctions of the same security. | 4.117% | — | 4.033% |
| 13:15 | US | Fed Logan SpeaksLorie K. Logan began serving as the 14th president and CEO of the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas on August 22, 2022. She represents the Eleventh Feder | — | — | — |
| 14:00 | US | ★FOMC Meeting MinutesThe Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) Meeting Minutes are a detailed record of the committee's policy-setting meeting held about three weeks earlier. The minutes offer detailed insights regarding the FOMC's stance on monetary policy, so currency traders carefully examine them for clues regarding the outcome of future interest rate decisions. | — | — | — |
| 15:15 | US | ★FOMC Member Kashkari SpeaksFederal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis President Neel Kashkari. His public engagements are often used to drop subtle clues regarding future monetary policy. | — | — | — |
| 17:45 | US | Fed Vice Chair for Supervision Barr Speaks | — | — | — |
| Friday, Oct 10 | |||||
| 08:30 | US | ★Fed Chair Powell SpeaksFederal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell (Feb. 2018 – Feb. 2026) is to speak. As head of the Fed, which controls short term interest rates, he has more influence over the U.S. dollar's value than any other person. Traders closely watch his speeches as they are often used to drop hints regarding future monetary policy. | — | — | — |
| 08:35 | US | ★FOMC Member Bowman SpeaksMichelle W. Bowman took office as a member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System on November 26, 2018, to fill an unexpired term ending January 31, 2020. Her public engagements are often used to drop subtle clues regarding future monetary policy. | — | — | — |
| 10:30 | US | Natural Gas StorageThe Energy Information Administration (EIA) Natural Gas Storage report measures the change in the number of cubic feet of natural gas held in underground storage during the past week. While this is a U.S. indicator it tends to have a greater impact on the Canadian dollar, due to Canada's sizable energy sector. If the increase in natural gas inventories is more than expected, it implies weaker demand and is bearish for natural gas prices. The same can be said if a decline in inventories is less than expected. If the increase in natural gas is less than expected, it implies greater demand and is bullish for natural gas prices. The same can be said if a decline in inventories is more than expected. | 80B | 76B | 53B |
| 11:30 | US | 4-Week Bill AuctionThe figures displayed in the calendar represent the rate on the Treasury Bill auctioned. U.S. Treasury Bills have maturities of a few days to one year. Governments issue treasuries to borrow money to cover the gap between the amount they receive in taxes and the amount they spend to refinance existing debt and/or to raise capital. The rate on a Treasury Bill represents the return an investor will receive by holding the bill for its entire duration. All bidders receive the same rate at the highest accepted bid. Yield fluctuations should be monitored closely as an indicator of the government debt situation. Investors compare the average rate at auction to the rate at previous auctions of the same security. | 4.030% | — | 4.060% |
| 11:30 | US | 8-Week Bill AuctionThe figures displayed in the calendar represent the rate on the Treasury Bill auctioned.U.S. Treasury Bills have maturities of a few days to one year. Governments issue treasuries to borrow money to cover the gap between the amount they receive in taxes and the amount they spend to refinance existing debt and/or to raise capital. The rate on a Treasury Bill represents the return an investor will receive by holding the bill for its entire duration. All bidders receive the same rate at the highest accepted bid. Yield fluctuations should be monitored closely as an indicator of the government debt situation. Investors compare the average rate at auction to the rate at previous auctions of the same security. | 3.955% | — | 3.960% |
| 12:00 | US | WASDE ReportThis monthly report provides the current USDA forecasts of U.S. and world supply-use balances of major grains, soybeans and products, and cotton; and U.S. supply and use of sugar and livestock products. | — | — | — |
| 12:45 | US | Fed Vice Chair for Supervision Barr Speaks | — | — | — |
| 13:00 | US | 30-Year Bond AuctionThe figures displayed in the calendar represent the yield on the Treasury Bond auctioned. U.S. Treasury Bonds have maturities from ten up to 30 years. Governments issue treasuries to borrow money to cover the gap between the amount they receive in taxes and the amount they spend to refinance existing debt and/or to raise capital. The rate on a Treasury Bond represents the return an investor will receive by holding the bond for its entire duration. All bidders receive the same rate at the highest accepted bid. Yield fluctuations should be monitored closely as an indicator of the government debt situation. Investors compare the average rate at auction to the rate at previous auctions of the same security. | 4.734% | — | 4.651% |
| 15:45 | US | ★FOMC Member Bowman SpeaksMichelle W. Bowman took office as a member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System on November 26, 2018, to fill an unexpired term ending January 31, 2020. Her public engagements are often used to drop subtle clues regarding future monetary policy. | — | — | — |
| 16:30 | US | Fed's Balance SheetThe Fed balance sheet is a statement listing the assets and liabilities of the Federal Reserve System. Details of the Fed's balance sheet are disclosed by the Fed in a weekly report called "Factors Affecting Reserve Balances." | 6,591B | — | 6,587B |
| 16:30 | US | Reserve Balances with Federal Reserve BanksReserve Balances with Federal Reserve Banks is the amount of money that depository institutions maintain in their accounts at their regional Federal Reserve Banks. | 3.034T | — | 2.980T |
| 21:40 | US | ★FOMC Member Daly SpeaksFederal Reserve Bank of San Francisco President and Chief Executive Officer Mary Daly. Her public engagements are often used to drop subtle clues regarding future monetary policy. | — | — | — |
★ marks releases that usually move markets (inflation, jobs, growth, central-bank decisions). Click an event for what it measures. Actual values fill in as they're published.